8% to 33% to 60% growth for office apps in the cloud or “Don’t hold your breath for office apps in the cloud?” | Cloud Computing – InfoWorld

Don’t hold your breath for office apps in the cloud | Cloud Computing – InfoWorld cites a current installed base of 8% using cloud-based office apps.  Although a small %, that number represents 50M users!!!!

From this start, Gartner sees a decent ramp to 33% by 2017 but then a s…l…o….w growth to 60% by 2022.

There are a few factors that make Gartner’s 2017 33% a conservative one, in my view.  I’m betting its more 50% by end of 2017 and that the 2022 number will be more in the 85% range.

Reasons for this are:

  • HP reselling Google Apps gives HP a unique competitive advantage vs other hardware companies, “choice.”  Expect HP competitors to join HP over the next 18-24 months (latest).
  • Microsoft is underestimating the emerging user profile...while MS-Office is the undisputed kingpin, I personally started using Google Apps and installed OpenOffice and LibreOffice on my two daughter’s PCs.  So far, no complaints from my teenagers and being able to achieve my ROI would make any CIO a hero with their executive management peers. HINT – start with Word alternatives for non-Excel/Powerpoint users.
  • Microsoft has slowed the cloud-based Office adoption rate with their artificial desktop OS licensing policies.  While my own experiment of Office-alternatives does run on Windows (incl. 8), why couldn’t I run a cloud-office solution on open-source Linux?  That ROI would make any CIO CEO by the time we reach the 50% adoption threshold in 2017 🙂 ….

 

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